French Elections: Battle for the Undecided

Nightberg is a US based macro research firm founded by former Bridgewater and Moore Capital analysts Birgir Haraldsson and Mario Manna. Their political analysis (an essential part of their investment framework) is anchored to Predata’s election signals that are crafted by combining various social media sources, such as Twitter and Wikipedia, whereby they create state-of-the-art metadata indicator scores. These scores are not equivalent to polls, but do help in detecting how the pendulum of sentiment is swinging ‘on the ground’ in real-time. In their latest piece they assess both recent polling results with the digital political footprints of the candidates in the French elections. The results suggest Le Pen is in a reasonably strong position: she’s currently leading in both domains. Click below to request access to this report.